4
Silver prices shocked the commodities market earlier this year with a sharp rally, only to retreat just as quickly. After touching an all time high of ₹4,20,000 per kg on the Multi Commodity Exchange on January 29, the metal has corrected nearly 46 percent. This steep fall has left traders wondering whether the rally is over or simply paused before the next move.
Market experts believe the current phase is not a collapse but a consolidation. Price action over the next few weeks may determine whether silver resumes its long term uptrend or continues correcting.
Whenever an asset rallies rapidly, investors tend to lock in profits. Silver’s surge attracted speculative positions, and once momentum slowed, traders rushed to exit. This created selling pressure that accelerated the fall.
Precious metals are highly sensitive to interest rate expectations. Investors closely watch signals from the US Federal Reserve because higher rates make non yielding assets like silver less attractive. Uncertainty around policy timing has kept markets volatile.
Traders now expect rate cuts to begin around June 2026, with two reductions priced in for the year. Such expectations influence currency movements and commodity flows globally.
Silver is priced internationally in dollars. When the US Dollar Index weakens, metals often rise because they become cheaper for foreign buyers. Recently, the index slipped below the key 97 level, showing signs of losing momentum. However, lack of clarity has prevented a strong rebound in silver.
Markets are waiting for signals from the FOMC Minutes and PMI data releases. These indicators influence expectations about inflation, growth, and rate policy. Any surprise could trigger sharp moves in metals.
Analysts note that the Chinese New Year period typically brings lighter institutional trading and temporary volatility. During such phases, prices often move in narrow ranges rather than strong trends.
Safe haven demand tends to rise when geopolitical tensions increase. For example, recent tensions between the United States and Iran briefly supported precious metals. But without sustained risk events, rallies have struggled to hold.
Despite the sharp correction, silver’s long term story remains intact. Unlike gold, silver has dual demand drivers. It is both a precious metal and an industrial commodity.
Silver is widely used in solar panels, electric vehicles, semiconductors, and electronics. As clean energy adoption grows, demand for silver in photovoltaic cells continues rising. This structural demand acts as a price cushion during market downturns.
Mining output growth has been limited for years. Supply deficits have persisted because new mining projects take time to develop. Tight supply combined with rising industrial consumption creates a supportive backdrop.
Retail investors and ETFs have steadily increased silver allocations. During periods of inflation uncertainty, many investors treat silver as a hedge, similar to gold but with higher volatility.
Analysts suggest that March may become a turning point. By then, liquidity conditions may improve and clarity on monetary policy could emerge. If macro pressures ease, silver could regain upward momentum.
On the other hand, if economic data strengthens and interest rate cuts get delayed, metals could remain under pressure. In such scenarios, prices may move sideways rather than trend strongly.
For Indian investors, silver is not just a global commodity. It is also a popular trading instrument and a traditional store of value. Movements on international exchanges quickly reflect in domestic prices.
Higher volatility often leads to increased trading volumes on commodity platforms. Short term traders look for momentum opportunities, while long term investors track fundamental signals.
Regulatory oversight from the Securities and Exchange Board of India ensures transparency and safeguards market participants. This strengthens confidence in commodity derivatives trading in India.
Consider a trader who bought silver near peak levels expecting continued momentum. The sharp correction would have triggered margin pressure and forced decisions. However, a long term investor focused on structural demand might see the same fall as a buying opportunity.
This difference highlights why understanding market cycles is crucial. Commodities often move in phases of expansion, correction, and consolidation rather than straight lines.
Is the recent fall in silver prices unusual
No. Commodities often experience sharp corrections after strong rallies due to profit booking and macro shifts.
What is the biggest factor affecting silver right now
Interest rate expectations and currency movements are currently the most influential drivers.
Can silver recover soon
It can, especially if liquidity improves and rate cut expectations strengthen, though timing depends on economic data.
Is silver a good hedge against inflation
Yes, historically silver has acted as a partial hedge, particularly during periods of currency weakness.
Should beginners invest in silver now
Beginners should start with small allocations and understand volatility before increasing exposure.
Silver’s recent drop may look alarming, but corrections are a natural part of commodity cycles. The metal still enjoys strong structural support from industrial demand, supply constraints, and investor interest. The coming weeks will likely decide whether prices stabilize or prepare for another upward leg.
For investors who want reliable research insights, advanced tools, and responsive support while tracking commodities and markets, Swastika Investmart provides a technology driven platform backed by regulatory compliance and investor education.
4
Silver prices shocked the commodities market earlier this year with a sharp rally, only to retreat just as quickly. After touching an all time high of ₹4,20,000 per kg on the Multi Commodity Exchange on January 29, the metal has corrected nearly 46 percent. This steep fall has left traders wondering whether the rally is over or simply paused before the next move.
Market experts believe the current phase is not a collapse but a consolidation. Price action over the next few weeks may determine whether silver resumes its long term uptrend or continues correcting.
Whenever an asset rallies rapidly, investors tend to lock in profits. Silver’s surge attracted speculative positions, and once momentum slowed, traders rushed to exit. This created selling pressure that accelerated the fall.
Precious metals are highly sensitive to interest rate expectations. Investors closely watch signals from the US Federal Reserve because higher rates make non yielding assets like silver less attractive. Uncertainty around policy timing has kept markets volatile.
Traders now expect rate cuts to begin around June 2026, with two reductions priced in for the year. Such expectations influence currency movements and commodity flows globally.
Silver is priced internationally in dollars. When the US Dollar Index weakens, metals often rise because they become cheaper for foreign buyers. Recently, the index slipped below the key 97 level, showing signs of losing momentum. However, lack of clarity has prevented a strong rebound in silver.
Markets are waiting for signals from the FOMC Minutes and PMI data releases. These indicators influence expectations about inflation, growth, and rate policy. Any surprise could trigger sharp moves in metals.
Analysts note that the Chinese New Year period typically brings lighter institutional trading and temporary volatility. During such phases, prices often move in narrow ranges rather than strong trends.
Safe haven demand tends to rise when geopolitical tensions increase. For example, recent tensions between the United States and Iran briefly supported precious metals. But without sustained risk events, rallies have struggled to hold.
Despite the sharp correction, silver’s long term story remains intact. Unlike gold, silver has dual demand drivers. It is both a precious metal and an industrial commodity.
Silver is widely used in solar panels, electric vehicles, semiconductors, and electronics. As clean energy adoption grows, demand for silver in photovoltaic cells continues rising. This structural demand acts as a price cushion during market downturns.
Mining output growth has been limited for years. Supply deficits have persisted because new mining projects take time to develop. Tight supply combined with rising industrial consumption creates a supportive backdrop.
Retail investors and ETFs have steadily increased silver allocations. During periods of inflation uncertainty, many investors treat silver as a hedge, similar to gold but with higher volatility.
Analysts suggest that March may become a turning point. By then, liquidity conditions may improve and clarity on monetary policy could emerge. If macro pressures ease, silver could regain upward momentum.
On the other hand, if economic data strengthens and interest rate cuts get delayed, metals could remain under pressure. In such scenarios, prices may move sideways rather than trend strongly.
For Indian investors, silver is not just a global commodity. It is also a popular trading instrument and a traditional store of value. Movements on international exchanges quickly reflect in domestic prices.
Higher volatility often leads to increased trading volumes on commodity platforms. Short term traders look for momentum opportunities, while long term investors track fundamental signals.
Regulatory oversight from the Securities and Exchange Board of India ensures transparency and safeguards market participants. This strengthens confidence in commodity derivatives trading in India.
Consider a trader who bought silver near peak levels expecting continued momentum. The sharp correction would have triggered margin pressure and forced decisions. However, a long term investor focused on structural demand might see the same fall as a buying opportunity.
This difference highlights why understanding market cycles is crucial. Commodities often move in phases of expansion, correction, and consolidation rather than straight lines.
Is the recent fall in silver prices unusual
No. Commodities often experience sharp corrections after strong rallies due to profit booking and macro shifts.
What is the biggest factor affecting silver right now
Interest rate expectations and currency movements are currently the most influential drivers.
Can silver recover soon
It can, especially if liquidity improves and rate cut expectations strengthen, though timing depends on economic data.
Is silver a good hedge against inflation
Yes, historically silver has acted as a partial hedge, particularly during periods of currency weakness.
Should beginners invest in silver now
Beginners should start with small allocations and understand volatility before increasing exposure.
Silver’s recent drop may look alarming, but corrections are a natural part of commodity cycles. The metal still enjoys strong structural support from industrial demand, supply constraints, and investor interest. The coming weeks will likely decide whether prices stabilize or prepare for another upward leg.
For investors who want reliable research insights, advanced tools, and responsive support while tracking commodities and markets, Swastika Investmart provides a technology driven platform backed by regulatory compliance and investor education.
India’s primary market is showing renewed momentum, and the next week’s mainboard IPO lineup reflects growing investor appetite for new listings. When multiple IPOs open within a short window, it usually indicates strong institutional interest and healthy liquidity conditions.
For retail investors, such clusters create opportunities to diversify applications across sectors. For the market as a whole, active IPO calendars often signal confidence in valuations and macro stability.
Here is a detailed breakdown of the companies hitting the primary market along with price band, investment requirement, and key dates.
Gaudium IVF & Women Health
Healthcare IPOs often attract long term investors because the sector benefits from structural demand driven by demographics and rising healthcare awareness.
Shree Ram Twisters
Textile companies tend to perform well when export demand strengthens and raw material costs stabilize. Investors usually track margins and order book visibility before applying.
PNGS Reva Diamond Jewellery
Jewellery IPOs often benefit from strong brand recall and retail expansion strategies. Investors typically examine store growth plans and inventory management efficiency.
Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions
This is the largest IPO among the upcoming offerings. Large issue sizes usually attract strong institutional participation, which can influence listing day sentiment.
With price bands starting from ₹75 and going above ₹1000, the lineup accommodates different investment capacities. Small investors can participate in lower ticket issues, while high conviction investors may choose larger offerings.
The upcoming IPO calendar includes companies from healthcare, textiles, jewellery, and renewable energy. Such sector diversity helps investors spread risk rather than concentrating exposure in a single industry.
When companies from unrelated sectors launch IPOs simultaneously, it typically means merchant bankers and promoters believe market conditions are favorable. This is often linked to:
In past years, whenever IPO launches were tightly packed within weeks, listing gains were often influenced by liquidity distribution. If too many IPOs compete for funds, subscription levels may vary widely.
For example, if investors apply aggressively in a large issue, smaller IPOs in the same week might see lower oversubscription. This does not necessarily reflect company quality but rather capital allocation decisions.
In India, IPOs are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India, which mandates detailed disclosures in prospectuses. Investors should always review:
These disclosures help investors evaluate whether valuations are justified.
Before applying, investors should assess:
Compare price to earnings ratio or price to sales with listed competitors.
Look at revenue trajectory, order book, and expansion plans.
Even strong companies may underperform if their sector faces headwinds.
High institutional demand often signals confidence, though it does not guarantee listing gains.
Busy IPO calendars often coincide with bullish market phases. They can influence the secondary market in three ways:
However, excessive supply of new listings can temporarily divert funds from existing equities.
Many experienced investors follow a staggered application strategy. Instead of applying for every IPO, they shortlist offerings based on fundamentals and valuation comfort.
For instance, an investor bullish on renewable energy may prioritize Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions, while another focusing on consumer demand may prefer the jewellery company issue.
How many IPOs are opening next week
Four mainboard IPOs are scheduled to open across different sectors.
Which IPO has the largest issue size
Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions has the largest issue size at ₹3,100 crore.
What is the lowest minimum investment among them
PNGS Reva Diamond Jewellery requires the lowest minimum investment of ₹12,352.
Do IPO clusters affect listing gains
Yes. When multiple IPOs launch together, investor funds get divided, which can influence subscription levels and listing performance.
Should beginners apply to all IPOs
Not necessarily. It is better to select IPOs based on financial strength, sector outlook, and valuation.
The next week’s mainboard IPO lineup highlights a vibrant primary market phase in India. With companies from diverse sectors seeking capital, investors have multiple opportunities to participate in early stage growth stories. The key lies in analyzing fundamentals rather than chasing hype.
For investors who want reliable research insights, advanced tools, and smooth application support, Swastika Investmart provides a strong investing platform backed by SEBI registration, smart analytics, dedicated support, and educational resources designed for informed decision making.
Cochin Shipyard Limited has secured a massive ₹5,000 crore order from the Indian Navy, marking one of the largest defence wins for the company in recent years. For investors tracking India’s defence manufacturing theme, this development is more than just a contract. It is a signal that domestic shipyards are becoming central to national strategic infrastructure.
Large government orders tend to provide multi year revenue visibility. Unlike commercial shipbuilding, defence projects usually come with milestone based payments, strict timelines, and strong policy backing. This reduces business uncertainty and improves financial predictability.
The order aligns with India’s broader defence manufacturing strategy that prioritizes domestic production under policy initiatives encouraging local sourcing. Defence shipbuilding contracts awarded to Indian yards help reduce dependence on foreign suppliers while boosting domestic industry capabilities.
For Cochin Shipyard, this strengthens its positioning as a strategic asset in India’s maritime defence ecosystem.
Shipbuilding contracts of this scale typically span several years. Revenue is recognized progressively as construction milestones are completed. This ensures:
Investors often assign premium valuations to companies with predictable earnings pipelines, especially in capital intensive industries.
Commercial shipbuilding projects can be cyclical because they depend on global shipping demand. Defence contracts, however, are driven by national security budgets, which tend to remain stable even during economic slowdowns.
This structural difference makes defence order books highly valuable for listed shipbuilders.
When companies announce large defence deals, markets usually react quickly because such contracts validate business capabilities. In many cases, defence wins trigger short term stock rallies as traders anticipate improved earnings visibility.
Historically, Indian defence PSU stocks have shown strong momentum after order inflows due to three reasons:
If execution remains on schedule, this contract could act as a sentiment booster for Cochin Shipyard’s stock over the medium term.
Consider infrastructure companies. When a construction firm wins a large highway contract, analysts immediately revise revenue projections upward. The same principle applies here.
In shipbuilding, the order book is the single most important metric. A growing backlog signals future revenue already locked in. Investors often compare order book size to annual revenue to judge business visibility.
For instance, if a company with ₹4,000 crore annual revenue secures a ₹5,000 crore contract, it effectively adds more than a year of assured business.
Large defence orders do not affect just one company. They can influence the broader capital markets in several ways:
Strong order inflows often lift valuations across the defence sector because investors anticipate rising government spending. This can create momentum across related stocks such as equipment suppliers, component manufacturers, and engineering contractors.
India’s equity markets have increasingly favored manufacturing led growth stories. Defence shipbuilding fits neatly into this narrative because it combines industrial production, technology development, and export potential.
Government defence procurement follows structured tender processes and long term strategic planning. This reduces uncertainty for investors compared to sectors driven purely by consumer demand.
While India has multiple shipyards, only a handful have the technical capability and infrastructure to execute complex defence projects. This creates high entry barriers and limits competition.
Cochin Shipyard’s advantages include:
These strengths help the company compete effectively for future contracts.
Even strong order wins do not eliminate risks. Investors should track:
Delays in shipbuilding projects can increase costs and affect profitability.
Steel prices and specialized equipment costs can influence margins.
Government procurement policies and budget allocations can affect future order inflows.
Monitoring quarterly results and management commentary helps investors assess whether execution remains on track.
From a valuation standpoint, defence contracts often support price to earnings expansion because they reduce earnings uncertainty. Analysts typically revise target prices when:
If Cochin Shipyard continues to secure similar high value projects, it could strengthen investor confidence and attract institutional interest.
Long term investors generally look for companies with structural growth drivers rather than short term catalysts. This contract supports several such drivers:
These themes suggest that the order may not just be a one time boost but part of a broader multi year growth trajectory.
Why is the ₹5,000 crore Navy order important for Cochin Shipyard
It increases revenue visibility, strengthens the order book, and signals strong government support for domestic shipbuilding.
Will the contract immediately increase profits
Not instantly. Revenue will be recognized gradually as project milestones are completed over several years.
Does this affect the defence sector overall
Yes. Large contracts often improve sentiment across defence stocks because they indicate strong government spending trends.
Is Cochin Shipyard a cyclical stock
Partly. Commercial shipbuilding is cyclical, but defence orders provide stability and reduce volatility.
What should investors track next
Execution progress, quarterly earnings, margin trends, and future order announcements.
The ₹5,000 crore naval contract positions Cochin Shipyard as a key beneficiary of India’s expanding defence manufacturing ecosystem. While short term market reactions may fluctuate, the long term story depends on execution, order inflows, and industry tailwinds.
For investors seeking reliable insights, advanced analytics, and seamless investing tools, Swastika Investmart offers a strong platform backed by SEBI registration, robust research systems, responsive support, and investor education resources.
The announcement that Infosys has signed a strategic agreement with Anthropic marks a major step in enterprise artificial intelligence adoption. The collaboration centers on integrating Anthropic’s Claude family of AI models into Infosys’ enterprise ecosystem to automate complex business operations and accelerate digital transformation.
For investors, this is not just a technology update. It signals a structural shift in how Indian IT companies position themselves in a rapidly evolving AI driven global services market.
Shares of Infosys surged more than 3 percent after the announcement, making it one of the top performers in the Nifty 50 during that trading session. Market reaction suggests that investors view the partnership as a growth catalyst rather than a disruption risk.
The primary objective is to combine Infosys’ domain expertise with Anthropic’s advanced language models such as Claude. This integration will allow enterprises to automate processes that traditionally required manual intervention.
Examples include:
This type of deployment differs from basic chatbot usage. It focuses on real business outcomes, not experimental use cases.
The companies will jointly establish a specialized innovation hub focused initially on telecommunications. This center will build tailored AI agents designed for industry specific operations.
Over time, the solutions will expand to sectors such as:
Such centers often become long term revenue drivers because they generate repeat consulting, integration, and support contracts.
A key highlight of the deal is its emphasis on agentic artificial intelligence. Unlike traditional AI tools that respond to prompts, agentic systems can autonomously execute multi step tasks.
For example, in insurance claims processing, an AI agent could:
All without human intervention unless exceptions occur.
This evolution has major implications for IT services. Instead of billing hours for manual work, firms may earn from platform subscriptions and outcome based pricing.
According to Infosys CEO Salil Parekh, the partnership represents a strategic leap toward building intelligent and responsible enterprise systems. His statement underscores a broader industry shift from digital transformation to AI transformation.
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei highlighted that domain expertise is essential to make AI useful in regulated industries. That is where Infosys brings value through decades of experience in telecom, finance, and manufacturing consulting.
This combination of deep industry knowledge and advanced AI models is what analysts believe could differentiate the partnership from generic AI deployments.
The global IT services industry has faced volatility because AI tools are improving productivity at unprecedented speed. Investors worry that automation may reduce demand for traditional outsourcing.
However, deals like this indicate a different narrative. Instead of losing business, IT companies may shift toward higher value services such as:
This transition mirrors earlier technology cycles. Cloud computing initially raised concerns about revenue cannibalization but ultimately created massive new opportunities for service providers.
To understand practical implications, consider a telecom company managing millions of subscribers. With integrated AI agents powered by Anthropic models and Infosys platforms, the operator could:
This reduces costs, improves service quality, and enhances customer satisfaction.
Such measurable outcomes are exactly what enterprise clients seek when signing long term IT contracts.
The partnership arrives at a time when Indian technology stocks have been under pressure due to fears of AI disruption. Strategic alliances like this could help restore confidence.
If execution succeeds, the deal could:
For the broader market, it reinforces India’s positioning as a global hub for enterprise technology services rather than just outsourcing.
Global consulting firms and hyperscalers are all investing heavily in enterprise AI. Infosys’ approach focuses on combining proprietary platforms with third party foundation models.
This hybrid strategy allows flexibility. Companies can choose the model that fits regulatory requirements while still leveraging Infosys’ integration expertise.
Such adaptability is crucial for heavily regulated industries where compliance standards vary across jurisdictions.
To evaluate whether the partnership delivers real value, investors should track:
Consistent improvement in these indicators would validate the strategic rationale behind the collaboration.
What is the Infosys Anthropic AI partnership about
It is a collaboration to integrate Anthropic’s Claude AI models with Infosys platforms to automate enterprise processes and build industry specific AI solutions.
Why did Infosys stock rise after the announcement
Investors viewed the partnership as a growth driver that could strengthen the company’s position in the fast growing enterprise AI market.
What industries will benefit first
The rollout begins with telecommunications and will later expand to finance, manufacturing, and software services.
What is agentic AI
Agentic AI refers to systems capable of executing multi step tasks autonomously rather than simply responding to prompts.
Is this partnership positive for the Indian IT sector
Yes. Strategic AI alliances show that Indian IT firms are adapting quickly to technological shifts, which can support long term growth and valuations.
The Infosys Anthropic AI collaboration reflects how quickly the global technology landscape is evolving. Rather than resisting disruption, leading firms are embracing it and building capabilities that align with the next phase of enterprise computing.
For investors navigating such fast moving developments, having access to reliable research, strong analytics tools, and responsive support can make a real difference. Swastika Investmart offers all of this along with SEBI registration, advanced investing technology, and investor education resources designed to help clients make informed decisions.
Infosys will soon outline its artificial intelligence roadmap at its much anticipated AI Day event. This comes at a time when the global IT services sector is under pressure due to rapid advancements in generative AI and automation platforms.
The company’s stock climbed to around Rs 1400 on February 17, up about 2.55 percent intraday, as markets positioned themselves ahead of management commentary. This reaction reflects how closely investors are tracking technology strategy announcements in today’s AI driven environment.
For Indian equity investors, such events often act as sentiment triggers, much like earnings or guidance revisions.
According to CEO Salil Parekh, AI is no longer an experimental initiative for the company. It is now integrated across delivery, consulting, and enterprise transformation solutions.
Key themes expected from the presentation include:
This indicates that clients are not just exploring AI. They are actively deploying it into production environments.
A report from Kotak Institutional Equities highlighted that the firm is entering a scale phase starting FY26. This phase focuses on:
In simple terms, companies are moving from testing AI tools to embedding them into daily operations.
The broader technology sector has seen sharp volatility recently. Concerns rose after new AI tooling developments from Anthropic triggered fears that automation could reduce the need for traditional IT outsourcing.
Between January 19 and February 13, Infosys shares declined more than 18 percent on the NSE. The selloff was driven by worries that AI powered productivity gains could limit revenue growth in the short term, especially if clients demand pricing renegotiations or outcome based contracts.
This is a classic disruption cycle where technology improves efficiency but challenges existing business models.
One of the company’s strongest bets is its proprietary AI ecosystem, including Infosys Topaz. These platforms aim to move beyond basic automation and transform entire business workflows.
The management believes AI adoption will unfold over seven to eight years, meaning IT service providers will remain essential partners in enterprise transformation.
Consider a large Indian bank modernizing its digital infrastructure. Traditional outsourcing might involve coding, testing, and deployment services. With AI enabled platforms, Infosys can now:
Instead of reducing demand, this shifts the nature of services from manual execution to high value consulting and architecture design.
The implications extend beyond one company. India’s IT industry contributes significantly to export earnings, employment, and index performance.
If Infosys demonstrates a successful AI transition, it could:
On the regulatory side, Indian firms must also comply with data privacy and AI governance norms, including global standards such as GDPR and India’s Digital Personal Data Protection Act. Companies that build responsible AI frameworks early could gain a competitive edge.
For investors, the key variable is execution. Strategy announcements excite markets, but consistent quarterly delivery ultimately determines stock performance.
Smart investors will track three specific signals after the event:
If these indicators show strength, the stock could regain momentum.
Is AI a threat or opportunity for Infosys?
Both. AI can reduce traditional outsourcing demand but also opens new consulting and platform revenue streams.
Why did Infosys stock fall recently?
Concerns about AI disrupting IT services pricing and a sequential profit decline triggered selling pressure.
How long will AI transformation take in IT services?
Management estimates a seven to eight year adoption cycle across enterprises.
What should investors focus on now?
Future deal wins, AI led revenue growth, and margin guidance.
Is Infosys still a long term story?
Yes, if it successfully transitions from manpower driven services to AI powered solutions.
Infosys AI Day 2026 is more than a corporate presentation. It is a reality check for the entire IT sector. The company stands at a critical turning point where technology disruption can either compress growth or unlock a new phase of innovation driven expansion.
For investors seeking research backed insights, robust tools, and seamless investing experience, Swastika Investmart offers a strong platform backed by SEBI registration, advanced analytics, responsive support, and investor education resources.
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• US markets closed for Presidents Day; Dow futures lower
• GIFT Nifty indicates a weak opening near 88 points down
• FIIs sold Rs 972 crore in cash, DIIs bought Rs 1667 crore
• Nifty support at 25500, resistance at 25690 to 25900
• Bank Nifty shows bullish bias above 60600 support
The Market Set Up for 17 February 2026 suggests a cautious start for Indian equities. With US markets closed for Presidents Day and Dow futures trading lower, global cues remain slightly negative. GIFT Nifty is indicating a gap down opening of around 88 points, reflecting weak early sentiment.
Let us decode what the data, derivatives positioning, and technical levels are signaling for traders and long term investors.
Global markets often set the tone for domestic indices such as Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty.
On 17 February 2026:
• US markets were closed due to Presidents Day
• Dow futures traded lower by around 95 points
• Asian markets were mixed
• GIFT Nifty indicated a negative opening bias
When US markets are closed, liquidity remains thin globally. However, futures trading still influences risk sentiment. A negative Dow futures trend typically leads to cautious positioning in emerging markets like India.
For Indian traders, this means volatility during the first hour of trade could be higher than usual.
Institutional flows remain one of the most important drivers of short term market direction.
• FII: Sold Rs 972 crore
• DII: Bought Rs 1667 crore
• Net institutional flow: Positive Rs 695 crore
Despite FII selling pressure, strong DII buying absorbed supply. Domestic institutions such as mutual funds and insurance companies continue to support the market during dips. This pattern has been visible throughout recent months, especially when global funds reduce exposure.
Nifty PCR stands at 1.11 compared to 0.65 earlier, indicating increased put writing. India VIX at 13.33 shows volatility remains moderate.
Highest Open Interest for 17 February 2026 expiry:
• 26000 Call
• 25500 Put
Max Pain level stands at 25650.
FII index derivative data shows mixed positioning. There is addition in long futures and heavy activity in call and put segments. Such positioning often signals a range bound market rather than a strong trending day.
For traders, this suggests respecting key levels rather than chasing momentum.
Nifty bounced sharply from the confluence of 20 day moving average and 200 day moving average. Such a cluster often acts as a strong technical base.
• 25690 to 25770 zone
• 25900 as next hurdle
If Nifty sustains above 25770 with strong volumes, momentum traders may attempt 25900.
• 25500
A decisive break below 25500 could trigger profit booking towards lower levels. However, as long as this level holds, bulls retain short term control.
For swing traders, buying near support with defined stop losses remains a prudent strategy.
Bank Nifty continues to show relative strength compared to broader indices.
It has resumed bullish momentum after taking support near the 20 day moving average.
• 61000
• 61500
• 62000
• 60600
• 60000
The banking sector plays a critical role in Nifty’s overall direction because of its heavy weightage. Sustained buying in private and PSU banks could cushion declines in other sectors.
Short term traders should monitor intraday price action around key resistance and support zones. Option writers may prefer strikes near 26000 Call and 25500 Put based on open interest concentration.
Long term investors should not react to a single day’s Market Set Up. Instead, focus on:
• Corporate earnings trends
• Government capital expenditure
• RBI monetary policy stance
• Inflation and liquidity conditions
The Reserve Bank of India continues to balance inflation control with growth support. Stable interest rate expectations often provide comfort to equity markets.
Suppose Nifty opens weak but holds 25500 and gradually recovers. This would indicate strong dip buying by institutions. Traders who panic sell early may miss the recovery.
On the other hand, if 25500 breaks with high volumes, intraday short trades could play out effectively.
Market discipline is about reacting to price confirmation rather than predicting outcomes.
Markets are influenced by global cues, institutional flows, and derivative positioning. No indicator guarantees direction.
SEBI regulations mandate transparent disclosure of institutional data and derivative positions. Investors should rely on verified exchange data rather than social media speculation.
Using stop losses, proper position sizing, and diversification remains essential.
Navigating daily Market Set Up analysis requires timely research and execution support.
Swastika Investmart is a SEBI registered stock broker offering:
• In house technical and fundamental research
• Advanced trading platforms with real time analytics
• Dedicated relationship managers
• Investor education initiatives
• Transparent and compliant operations
Whether you are an intraday trader tracking resistance levels or a long term investor building wealth, access to research backed insights can make a meaningful difference.
You can Open Your Trading Account here
GIFT Nifty is the offshore derivative of Nifty traded at GIFT City. It provides early indications of how Indian markets may open.
Foreign and domestic institutional investors trade in large volumes. Their buying or selling can influence short term price direction.
Max Pain is the strike price where option writers face the least loss at expiry. Markets often gravitate toward this level near expiry.
A VIX near 13 indicates moderate volatility. Extreme fear typically appears when VIX rises sharply above 20.
The Market Set Up for 17 February 2026 suggests a cautious start with clearly defined support and resistance levels. Institutional flows remain supportive despite FII selling, and technical structures indicate range bound trade unless key levels are breached.
Stay disciplined. Trade with data, not emotion.
With Swastika Investmart’s research driven insights and technology enabled platforms, you can approach the market with greater clarity and confidence.
Trust Our Expert Picks
for Your Investments!
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