
Indian equity markets ended their third consecutive week in the green, despite range-bound activity across most sessions. Broader indices such as mid-caps and small-caps continued to outperform, supported by rotational buying and strong interest in financial stocks. The Sensex and Nifty gained around 0.6% each, while Bank Nifty surged over 1.5%, reflecting renewed confidence in banking heavyweights.
As we enter the week of November 29 to December 5, 2025, market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. A mix of strong domestic macro data, improving global cues, and upcoming policy triggers will shape the trading landscape. Let’s dive into the factors that will matter most for investors this week.
The National Statistics Office’s latest data reported an 8.2% year-on-year real GDP growth in Q2 FY26, beating market expectations. What stood out is that the expansion was broad-based:
This reinforces the resilience of domestic demand and provides confidence that India’s growth cycle remains intact, despite global uncertainties.
Such strong data often acts as a sentiment booster for sectors like banking, infrastructure, capital goods, and consumer discretionary.
The previous week saw:
Going ahead, investors may continue to find opportunities in:
Global equities rallied sharply last week as expectations of a potential U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut grew stronger. Softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data led to:
For India, falling bond yields globally reduce external borrowing costs and support flows into risk assets.
However, despite supportive global cues, FIIs remain net sellers, which indicates that foreign flows may remain selective until currency volatility stabilizes.
The Indian rupee continues to show weakness against the dollar. This can impact:
A volatile currency also restricts aggressive FII buying, keeping near-term upside in check.
The most important event this week will be the RBI’s monetary policy announcement.
In October 2025, the central bank kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.50%, citing:
The repo rate is currently at its lowest since August 2022, after a cumulative reduction of 100 basis points during the year.
While no rate cut is expected this week, markets will focus on:
A dovish tone could support banks, NBFCs, autos, and real estate.
Automobile sales data is a major domestic trigger. This release will provide insights into:
Strong numbers across:
may lift market sentiment, whereas subdued data may put pressure on auto and ancillary stocks.
Nifty is currently consolidating after hitting fresh all-time highs. While profit-booking at higher levels is visible, the index continues to hold above key short-term moving averages.
A move above the resistance band could trigger momentum buying, while a slip below 26,150 may invite short-term corrections.
Bank Nifty remains the strongest major index, supported by heavyweights across private and PSU banks. The index is comfortably trading above its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, signalling sustained bullish momentum.
A decisive move above 60,000 may attract strong institutional buying.
Given the mixed global and domestic environment, a selective approach is essential.
Investors should also stay updated on RBI policy commentary, currency movement, and global volatility.
The RBI monetary policy announcement on December 5, 2025, will be the most crucial event.
Strong domestic GDP growth, improving global cues, and robust sectoral performance have lifted sentiment.
Banks, financials, pharma, and auto stocks show promising setup.
Resistance lies at 26,142–26,310, while supports are at 26,150, 26,025, and 25,850.
Healthy auto numbers may boost demand confidence and support auto, metal, and financial stocks.
The week ahead presents a balanced mix of opportunity and caution for Indian markets. Strong GDP numbers, a global risk-on mood, and sectoral resilience provide support, but currency weakness and FII outflows may keep volatility elevated. Investors should track domestic triggers—especially RBI policy and auto sales—while adopting a stock-specific approach.
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